According to AI predictions, Bitcoin is expected to hold the $80,550 level on its upcoming test rather than drop below it. This outlook stems from an assessment published this week by XWIN Research Japan contributor on CryptoQuant, which concludes that while the market is shifting from a phase of reduced selling pressure toward a potential bottom, a sustained upward trend still depends on an increase in spot demand.
This assessment relies on apparent demand growth metrics, which measure new supply against actual market absorption. This metric currently rests near its lowest point for 2026, indicating that the market’s price floor is supported by a lack of sellers rather than strong buying interest—a more precarious foundation than price charts alone might indicate.
BTC currently trades at $81,622, reflecting a 0.38% decline for the day.
Bitcoin Is Building a Bottom — But Spot Demand Is Still Weak
“The market is progressing from “fewer sellers” toward a possible bottom, but a sustained rally still needs stronger spot demand.” – By @xwinfinance pic.twitter.com/UDbNTd2ojL
— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) October 20, 2026
Why Fewer Sellers Is Not the Same as More Buyers
Apparent demand tracks the variance between new supply entering the market and the volume absorbed by holders. Negative readings indicate that the market is taking in fewer coins than it generates.
The one-year apparent demand figure has remained negative since May, deepening consistently throughout the second half of the year to drop past negative 800,000 BTC, setting a new low on the chart. The thirty–day metric shows a similar trend: it experienced its only green stretch of the year with a brief positive turn in late August, before returning to negative territory through September and October.
A positive development is that coins from last year’s buyers have largely stopped flowing onto exchanges. This dynamic helps explain how Bitcoin has weathered an inflation surprise, an oil shock, and a rate scare without experiencing a breakdown.
However, this trend does not clarify the catalyst for future upward movement. While a market can stabilize when sellers pull back, it advances only when buyers step in, and current demand metrics show buyers are absent. Price action has remained confined to a narrow range for three weeks under these exact conditions.
Supercharge Your Trading in 2026 With BloFin AI Trading Bots
Bitcoin Hyper Gives Waiting Holders Something Else to Do
Market conditions of this nature demand very little active participation from asset owners. Analysis points to waiting for demand, while flow data shows sellers have already exited, leaving holders with no alternative action other than maintaining their positions. This reflects the limitations of Bitcoin’s network rather than a deliberate strategy, as the network settles slowly and lacks native programmability.
Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) aims to address this gap. The project positions itself as a Bitcoin Layer 2 solution integrated with the Solana Virtual Machine, designed to introduce smart contracts and faster transaction execution directly to the existing network instead of operating on a separate chain.
Promoted features include low-latency Layer 2 processing alongside a decentralized canonical bridge for transferring Bitcoin. The ongoing presale lists tokens at $0.0136875, with reported funds raised exceeding $33 million.
Market participants exploring early-stage Bitcoin infrastructure can evaluate Bitcoin Hyper prior to the conclusion of the presale window next month.
Don’t Miss Out Again: Join New Bitcoin Layer 2 Early Here
Market Intelligence: Crypto Analyst Reveals Upcoming Coinbase Listings
AI Predicts Bitcoin Levels: Two Supports That Have Become One
BTCUSDT Chart 1D TradingView
The daily chart presents a distinct technical setup, where horizontal support at $80,556 sits approximately $70 beneath the 50-day exponential moving average at $80,624. Consequently, two distinct support indicators have merged into a single zone roughly $1,000 below spot prices. The asset maintains its position above both levels, as well as the 200-day moving average at $76,024.
AI pricing models project that Bitcoin’s direction will be determined by these key thresholds:
- The floor: $80,556. This horizontal support level is reinforced by the 50-day average at $80,624. A breach here would clear both supports simultaneously, making this upcoming test more critical than the previous three.
- The ceiling: $87,337. Representing the September high, this level has successfully capped every previous breakout attempt.
- The downside case: $74,340. This summer base level rests immediately below the 200-day average of $76,024.
Further above, the $97,902 mark defined the market’s performance during the first half of the year, though nothing in current demand data suggests that level is currently attainable.
Market Intelligence: Crypto Analyst Predicts Best Low-Cap Crypto
next
